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Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Why Trump Could Win The Election

Why Trump Could Win The Election

On paper it seems absurd that Trump could win. He has insulted and demeaned (his specialty) all minority groups—blacks, hispanics, gays, plus women. Then add all the investors, contractors, and workers he has legally ripped off via his numerous bankruptcy claims.  

The math here would seem impossible—after all, wealthy white males do not constitute a majority of our electorate. Non hispanic whites comprise only 61% of our population. More white women are for Hillary than Trump.

So why do many polls show it nip and tuck? It seems the answer might be found in the following:

For many decades now the affluent got more affluent and the very rich got even more rich—in fact their wealth rose in an exponential fashion. For this to happen, more affluent people had to fall into the economic poor bracket.  After all, the already poor have nothing left to give to make the rich even more rich. A sizable portion of the middle class saw their salaries stagnate, their pensions get eroded, job security become nonexistent, health care costs rise, and on it goes. The result is that now 43% of the adult population do not even make enough money to qualify to pay federal income taxes. Wow!!

We all kind of laugh when Trump tells, for example—blacks, that why not vote for him, things couldn’t get any worse. Many blacks probably won’t bolt on that basis, but a lot of other people—frustrated and stuck in financial hard times, might just decide to vote for Trump as a means to blow up the entire system and just see what replaces it.  A sort of ‘what the hell, what do I have to lose’? It is probably safe to say that the majority of Americans no longer feel our system works for them, and they oppose the politicians in Washington. Hillary is certainly an established politician.  

Democrats are clearly the only party attempting to help stop the wealthy from generating more and more poor people in this country, but democrats have not controlled Congress for many years so none of their bills to help the poor get passed, and the Republicans don’t even propose bills for the poor in our society. Their sole approach is to cut back on all the safety net programs. One prominent democrat, with limited brain power, little education himself—recently was infuriated that some Americans refuse jobs and choose to go on unemployment compensation. I have seen that happen with some of the guards here where I live. They make only slightly more than workman’s compensation, so why work 40-60 hrs per week to make a tad more than unemployment compensation? But Governor Dimwit sees nothing wrong with workers pay and benefits being reduced so he can give the still affluent more tax cuts. 

If Trump wins, this won’t be the first time a nation toppled a government non responsive to their needs and took a chance on what would follow. Invariably, after the government is toppled, various groups led by thugs take over and there is no stable government—just various groups of thugs who take turns controlling communities for variable lengths of time. And the result? 75 million displaced persons living in other countries in refugee camps. Trump of course—as usual, has an attractive solution. He would build nice little houses for them back in a secure area of their origin so that they have a place to live back in their own country.  This has the usual ethics and brilliance of most Trump ideas. We will not build houses for our own refugees (our ghettoes) but for the poor in other countries. I would imagine, after he builds nice little houses for the 75 million refugees, that he will provide the police power to ensure they get to actually live in these nice little houses. And, of course he will find living wage jobs for them so they can maintain these nice little houses. I wonder if Trump ever had any ideas which were not con jobs on hapless victims.?

At any rate, whether Trump succeeds in getting enough people to blow up our entire system is to be seen. But the situation he has created amongst our electorate kind of assures, win or lose, there will be economic insecurity and out in the open social unrest. Everyone is going to lose—those in peaceful neighborhoods, those with substantial financial portfolios, all those who think diverse groups need to work together, and so on, except of course Trump himself, who will go radio or TV with his own show, and like Rush Limbaugh, make millions of dollars stirring up the emotions of people he could care less about (which is about everyone) and laugh all the way to the bank. When the general public finally comprehends what he has duped them into, he may end up like Mussolini, who was brutally tortured and killed, then his body hung on display from a public pole. 

Obama brought us eight years of relative calm—at home and abroad, but he could not put a dent in curtailing the accumulation of wealth by the rich, and without Congress and a sympathetic Supreme Court, creating a more fair distribution of wealth was unattainable. 

It’ all good theatre, especially if you like tragedies.  I take little pride in pointing out that for like 15 years I have repeatedly noted that most major historical empires imploded from within based on two factors: First, a gross inequality of wealth at home, and second, a global empire way too expensive to maintain. Just because the poor of all ilk are now gated off, mostly out of sight from the daily living of the more affluent, doesn’t mean they can be contained that way by a superior police and military complex. We had the superior military by far, and killed more of the enemies, also by far, in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, Lebanon, many South American countries, and even our own ghettoes, but we never have won our objectives, and warfare has changed from uniformed soldiers to non uniformed nondescript enemies and now to all sorts of terroristic attacks by an alarming number of individuals and minor groups. We are starting to have success with ISIS using drones to seek out and destroy terrorist leaders, but what happens when terroristic groups begin to have these drones?  

75 million refugees, living in refugee camps across the globe, have been displaced from their own countries by upheaval. That is almost three times the number of people living in the United States during the time of Lincoln. The basic cause of all this turmoil is human overpopulation. With more and more people needing to run to safety at home and abroad, there really is no place to run left. That is exactly what overpopulation means, too few resources for all to live a life that so many of us now do.

The kind of election we are now going through will have no winners, just losers. Angry losers, from those with huge financial portfolios, to those with little, all cultures, all religions, all races, the ethical, the unethical. The evolutionary process will survive, maybe take a hit for thousands or millions of years, but few, if any of us, will escape in human time. The reality is always this: Time stays, the evolutionary process survives, WE go. For those my age, almost 76, and having lived a good life, there is no sense quibbling over just how many more good years we get. We could, in our past, always afford to have some pretty stupid Presidents. Those times are past. 

We actually elected a pretty smart President who appreciated diversity and wanted all segments of our society to prosper. But he had mostly Republican Congresses who passed none of his attempts to adjust where the wealth of America resided, had a Supreme Court who blocked any effort to hamstring the ability of the  rich to get all sorts of loopholes so they could continue to monopolize the wealth of this country. No President anywhere can make real progress until responsible reproduction is a globally enforced actuality, until there are minimum livable wages globally, and until human activities are regulated to protect our environment. 


So everybody hang on to their hats, this is going to be a rough ride. We might, I suppose, postpone the inevitable a few more years, but the evolution of human ethics is, for now, not keeping up with our materialistic addictions. Not good.